I got a hand from a subscriber who was in this $10 multi-table poker tournament. He wanted to know if he could get away from the hand, which was in the late stages and looks to be 3 or 4 tables left. So it was getting close to the final table and some big money. This is how he described it:

Can I fold this hand?

Subscriber: I'm in the late stages of a $10 MTT and this was the hand that knocked me out. Based on his hand ranges I thought it was a +EV play and I come to find out I'm like probably 60%+ in this situation I don't think I can lay this down. AQs UTG+1

UTG limps, so "POCKETS" decides to raise it up, looks like 2.5XBB. Turtleknife says: Acceptable move here.

Everyone folds back to UTG who flat calls. Pot is $29,200 and "POCKETS" hits middle pair.

Opponent bets right out 1/3rd pot, then "POCKETS" reraises to $35,000. Turtleknife says; If cazzo3 was hoping to hit a set and did, his $10k bet here would be a great move to build the pot, but if he had air or a mid pair like 22-99, he might just be taking a shot, so I think the repop here by "POCKETS" is reasonable too.

Then Cazzo3 reraises again obvisoulsy pot-committing hemiself. "POCKETS" decides he is ahead and shoves it all in with the balance of his $70g+ stack.

So again the question is, can "POCKETS" fold or was the shove good?

Turtleknife says:

Yes, you can fold and should have strongly considered so after he reraises your reraise on the flop. Here is why you COULD fold this hand.

1- You are still green M to start and high yellow M if you fold with +70g. If you have seen the *video for playing GCI hands you will know yours was not strong enough to continue here.

2- There were 4 or 5 raises in this hand, so really you can eliminate any holdings of your opponent that missed the flop. I always use the visual table at pokerhand.org and quickly called his KQ hand before he turned it over.

3 - With this type of action, you have to ask yourself, What does he have playing this way that you can beat?.... I couldn't think of anything besides a draw and with that type of action, that seems a rather remote possibility. So then you have to ask what does he have that can beat you? I can think of a few plausible hands here besides the KQ, like AK, AA, KK, QQ, and 44.

4 - Your competition. Sure its only a $10 bucker, but when you get deep in these, regardless of your profile info on opponents the majority of them absolutely know what they are doing and for him to be playing this way with a draw, well that draw would have to be huge like a JcTc. Other than that, take is a fact he is ahead of you.

5 - You could also fold this hand by counting to 10 before you got over-committed.

By the way, I like all of your moves up until you shoved it in after the flop reraising action. In addition, his UTG limp and then call preflop is such a money losing move I can't even begin to explain, so you were right about him being on the weaker side.

*The GCI video is in the MZonreReport free video series. It is basically a guide hand-to-hand combat meter that tells you whether you should be risking your entire tournament in this one hand. Just sign up if you haven't seen it yet.